
Sat Dec 11, 2021 01:34 PM
Russia will invade Ukraine by early next year. Putin already factored in the political risk calculation to prevent Ukraine from becoming a NATO member, which would bring more risks to Russia in the future. https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/09/world/europe/ukraine-military-russia-invasion.html

If Russia opts for an invasion, Ukraines generals say, they would have no hope of repelling it without a major infusion of military help from the West.
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